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Product case · 6 / 13

Design for uncertainty

Product note. Organizations, dates, private data and implementation details are omitted.

Abstract illustration: two mirrored paths that cross, with dots clustered around one crossing

The problem and the decisions

I explore how to present a prediction without making it look certain.

The decision: show limitations and record when a hypothesis no longer holds.

What it was built with

  • FastAPI
  • React
  • Supabase
  • Discord

What I did

  • Calibration
  • Track record
  • Refusing bad data
  • Testing
  • AI-assisted analysis
  • A/B testing

What I learned

A useful tool also helps people change their minds.

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